Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000727 0.000831 0.000942 0.001068 0.001207 0.001355 0.001524
2025-01-05 0.000564 0.000708 0.000872 0.001071 0.001304 0.001565 0.001881
2025-01-12 0.000469 0.000628 0.000818 0.001057 0.001348 0.001687 0.002108
2025-01-19 0.000393 0.000560 0.000766 0.001037 0.001378 0.001787 0.002309
2025-01-26 0.000353 0.000528 0.000754 0.001060 0.001455 0.001940 0.002572
2025-02-02 0.000318 0.000500 0.000742 0.001078 0.001523 0.002082 0.002824
2025-02-09 0.000276 0.000457 0.000705 0.001060 0.001542 0.002159 0.002994
2025-02-16 0.000240 0.000417 0.000668 0.001038 0.001552 0.002223 0.003145
2025-02-23 0.000219 0.000397 0.000658 0.001050 0.001607 0.002345 0.003374
2025-03-02 0.000199 0.000377 0.000645 0.001058 0.001653 0.002456 0.003590
2025-03-09 0.000172 0.000343 0.000608 0.001028 0.001646 0.002493 0.003705
2025-03-16 0.000149 0.000312 0.000574 0.000998 0.001635 0.002523 0.003811
2025-03-23 0.000134 0.000293 0.000557 0.000995 0.001664 0.002610 0.004000
2025-03-30 0.000120 0.000276 0.000543 0.000994 0.001696 0.002702 0.004196
2025-04-06 0.000107 0.000257 0.000522 0.000982 0.001710 0.002767 0.004355
2025-04-13 0.000093 0.000237 0.000499 0.000963 0.001712 0.002814 0.004488
2025-04-20 0.000088 0.000231 0.000500 0.000984 0.001776 0.002953 0.004757
2025-04-27 0.000082 0.000225 0.000499 0.001001 0.001833 0.003083 0.005013
2025-05-04 0.000072 0.000209 0.000478 0.000984 0.001836 0.003131 0.005151
2025-05-11 0.000063 0.000193 0.000457 0.000964 0.001831 0.003167 0.005271
2025-05-18 0.000058 0.000186 0.000454 0.000975 0.001879 0.003284 0.005512
2025-05-25 0.000054 0.000179 0.000448 0.000982 0.001919 0.003388 0.005737
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000164 0.000424 0.000954 0.001899 0.003400 0.005822